Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Platense had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
