SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Platense had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Platense |
58.74% ( 1.16) | 24.56% ( -0.48) | 16.7% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 41.76% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% ( 0.73) | 58.04% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% ( 0.57) | 78.72% ( -0.57) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( 0.74) | 19.68% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% ( 1.19) | 51.67% ( -1.19) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52% ( -0.43) | 48% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.77% ( -0.32) | 83.23% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 15.35% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.43% Total : 58.73% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.07% Total : 16.7% |
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