SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Platense had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Platense |
54.09% ( 0.09) | 25.94% ( -0.03) | 19.97% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.18% ( 0.06) | 58.82% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.67% ( 0.04) | 79.33% ( -0.05) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( 0.06) | 21.87% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% ( 0.09) | 55.11% ( -0.09) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.5% ( -0.03) | 44.5% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.47% ( -0.02) | 80.53% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 14.79% 2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 54.08% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.55% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.97% |
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