SM
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Poland | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Scotland | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Poland had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Croatia |
31.08% ( -0.19) | 24.6% ( -0.05) | 44.31% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 57.59% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.79% ( 0.11) | 45.21% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.45% ( 0.11) | 67.55% ( -0.11) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.07) | 27.56% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% ( -0.09) | 63.08% ( 0.08) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( 0.15) | 20.5% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.02% ( 0.24) | 52.98% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Croatia |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.08% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.31% |
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