Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Croatia win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Poland has a probability of 34.3% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Poland win is 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.46%).
