SM
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Croatia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Scotland | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Poland had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Poland win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Portugal |
16.08% ( 1.87) | 19.83% ( 1.11) | 64.09% ( -2.99) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.95% ( -1.26) | 40.05% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% ( -1.32) | 62.41% ( 1.31) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% ( 1.68) | 37.98% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.25% ( 1.59) | 74.74% ( -1.6) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.17% ( -1.15) | 11.82% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.93% ( -2.51) | 37.07% ( 2.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Portugal |
| 2-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.08% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.27)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.83% | 0-2 @ 10.23% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.11)0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 7.28% ( -0.62)1-3 @ 7.05% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 3.89% ( -0.53)1-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.32)1-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.87% Total : 64.08% |
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