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League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Vale Park
CU

Port Vale
0 - 0
Cambridge


Weir (35'), Smith (74')
FT

Gibbons (29'), Bennett (37'), Ahadme (39'), Okedina (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Wycombe
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Cambridge United

Cambridge may have lost six of their last seven away matches, but we think that they will do enough to take a point off a Port Vale side that has failed to win any of their previous six games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawCambridge United
50.5% (-0.271 -0.27) 24.29% (0.156 0.16) 25.21% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.26% (-0.394 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (-0.575 -0.57)47.59% (0.569 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (-0.534 -0.53)69.79% (0.52800000000001 0.53)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.33 -0.33)18.87% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.55 -0.55)50.33% (0.544 0.54)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (-0.217 -0.22)33.11% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.29% (-0.238 -0.24)69.71% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 50.49%
    Cambridge United 25.21%
    Draw 24.29%
Port ValeDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.41% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.123 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-4 Exeter
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Port Vale
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Port Vale
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Wycombe
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Derby
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 3-1 Wigan
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One


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