Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0) 
0.05) 
