Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
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