SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Crusaders |
28.9% ( 0.13) | 26.78% ( 0.05) | 44.33% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49.47% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.77% ( -0.11) | 55.23% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% ( -0.09) | 76.46% ( 0.09) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% ( 0.04) | 34.24% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.07% ( 0.04) | 70.93% ( -0.04) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( -0.14) | 24.78% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% ( -0.19) | 59.35% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.27% Total : 28.9% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 11.83% 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.32% |
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