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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 19
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
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Crusaders
2 - 2
Dungannon

Forsythe (56' pen.), Offord (60')
Stewart (25'), Clarke (29'), Jewitt-White (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Galvin (15'), Curry (24')
Dillon (63'), Alves (71'), Mitchell (87'), McGinty (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coleraine 1-2 Crusaders
Sunday, November 24 at 12.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Dungannon
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
56.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 21.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 58.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42%40.58% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04%62.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.24% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.31% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.82% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 56.42%
    Dungannon Swifts 21.7%
    Draw 21.88%
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 6.42%
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.13%
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.22%
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 56.42%
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 5.58%
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 5.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.2%
0-2 @ 2.94%
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 21.7%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Coleraine 1-2 Crusaders
Sunday, November 24 at 12.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 3-0 Crusaders
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Loughgall
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-0 Crusaders
Friday, November 1 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-0 Ballymena
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-1 Crusaders
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Dungannon
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 1-4 Cliftonville
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 4-1 Dungannon
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 1-3 Loughgall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Portadown
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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