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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 3
Portadown


Carson (34'), Rocks (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ukek (79'), Mayse (81'), Fyfe (86')
Altintop (23'), McCartan (58'), Mayse (82')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Portadown.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 1-0 Ballymena
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 2-1 Larne
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Portadown win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawPortadown
47.06% (-0.138 -0.14) 24.43% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.51% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 56.62% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.21% (0.064 0.06)45.79% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.9% (0.062000000000001 0.06)68.1% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)19.55% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (-0.052 -0.05)51.47% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.128 0.13)29.61% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.156 0.16)65.65% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 47.06%
    Portadown 28.51%
    Draw 24.43%
Ballymena UnitedDrawPortadown
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 7% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 28.51%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Crusaders 1-0 Ballymena
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Coleraine
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 4-1 Loughgall
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 3-2 Cliftonville
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 2-1 Larne
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Portadown
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Loughgall
Saturday, October 12 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Portadown
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-3 Portadown
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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