SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 16.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Portadown |
63.76% ( -0.04) | 19.69% ( 0) | 16.55% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.53% ( 0.06) | 38.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.24% ( 0.07) | 60.75% ( -0.07) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.55% ( 0.01) | 11.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.74% ( 0.02) | 36.25% ( -0.02) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( 0.09) | 36.43% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.78% ( 0.09) | 73.21% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 4.2% Total : 63.76% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.69% | 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 16.55% |
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