SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Crusaders |
30.66% ( 1.18) | 25.89% ( 0.36) | 43.45% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 53.12% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.05% ( -0.97) | 50.95% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.18% ( -0.86) | 72.82% ( 0.86) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( 0.34) | 30.72% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.02% ( 0.4) | 66.98% ( -0.39) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( -1.14) | 23.33% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.72% ( -1.69) | 57.28% ( 1.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.66% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.02% Total : 43.45% |
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