SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 13.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Braga |
13.02% ( -0.16) | 19.05% ( 0.08) | 67.93% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.85% ( -0.74) | 43.15% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.45% ( -0.73) | 65.55% ( 0.73) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.81% ( -0.72) | 44.2% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.72% ( -0.59) | 80.28% ( 0.59) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.31% ( -0.19) | 11.69% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.22% ( -0.41) | 36.78% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.02% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.86% Total : 19.05% | 0-2 @ 11.9% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.27)1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 8.52% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6.95% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.73% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.53% Total : 67.92% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
