SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Vizela |
34.29% ( -1.47) | 27.28% ( 0) | 38.43% ( 1.47) |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.4% ( -0.12) | 55.6% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.23% ( -0.1) | 76.77% ( 0.1) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( -0.99) | 30.63% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( -1.19) | 66.87% ( 1.19) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( 0.81) | 28.1% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.23% ( 1.02) | 63.77% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.42% |
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