SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Braga |
24.95% ( 0.05) | 24.89% ( 0.03) | 50.16% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.7% ( -0.08) | 50.29% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.75% ( -0.07) | 72.24% ( 0.07) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( -0) | 34.79% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% ( -0) | 71.52% ( 0) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( -0.06) | 20.06% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.71% ( -0.1) | 52.29% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.95% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 50.16% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
