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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
P

Portimonense
0 - 3
Porto


Costa (13'), Carrillo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (7'), Galeno (59'), Pepe (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Vizela
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Benfica
Sunday, March 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 0-3 Porto

With plenty of renewed confidence in their camp following the recent beating of Benfica, and the chance to narrow the gap to the top two, Porto should have far too much for the struggling hosts, and we see them putting up another dominant victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.08%) and 0-3 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortimonenseDrawPorto
11.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 18.35% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 70.57% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)67.29% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)83.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.51% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)36.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 11.08%
    Porto 70.56%
    Draw 18.35%
PortimonenseDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.03% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 11.08%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.35%
0-2 @ 13.07%
0-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 9.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 5.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-5 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 70.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Vizela
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Portimonense
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-0 Portimonense
Friday, February 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-4 Portimonense
Sunday, January 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Benfica
Sunday, March 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Porto
Thursday, February 29 at 4pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Porto
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, February 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 3-2 Porto
Monday, February 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


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