SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Nice had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nice |
53.46% ( -0.09) | 23.17% ( 0.01) | 23.37% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% ( 0.06) | 44.46% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% ( 0.05) | 66.83% ( -0.05) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( -0.01) | 16.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.61% ( -0.02) | 46.39% ( 0.02) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( 0.11) | 32.98% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.44% ( 0.12) | 69.56% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.46% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.37% |
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