SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Real Sociedad |
55.51% ( 0.05) | 23.35% ( -0.03) | 21.13% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.33% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% ( 0.1) | 47.77% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% ( 0.09) | 69.96% ( -0.09) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( 0.06) | 17.05% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.79% ( 0.1) | 47.21% ( -0.09) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% ( 0.03) | 36.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.29% ( 0.03) | 73.7% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 55.51% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.35% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 21.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
