SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 79.88%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 8.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-1 (6.82%) and 2-1 (6.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (4.03%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-2 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Puerto Rico | Draw | Sint Maarten |
79.88% ( -0.72) | 11.15% ( 0.22) | 8.97% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 68.97% ( 1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 85.6% ( 0.64) | 14.41% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 70.34% ( 1.01) | 29.67% ( -1) |
| Puerto Rico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.12% ( 0.04) | 2.88% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.89% ( 0.13) | 13.11% ( -0.13) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( 1.57) | 28.99% ( -1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.12% ( 1.9) | 64.89% ( -1.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puerto Rico | Draw | Sint Maarten |
| 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.35)4-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.31)5-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.19)5-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.19)6-1 @ 2.86% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.1)6-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.07)4-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.13)7-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)5-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.1)7-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 5.66% Total : 79.88% | 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.12) 1-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.14)Other @ 1.48% Total : 11.15% | 1-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.12)0-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.06% Total : 8.97% |
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