SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 56.91%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 21.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 0-1 (8.49%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 2-1 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
21.61% ( -0.54) | 21.48% ( 0.06) | 56.91% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.18% ( -0.97) | 38.82% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.87% ( -1.03) | 61.13% ( 1.04) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.6% ( -1.03) | 31.4% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.23% ( -1.21) | 67.77% ( 1.22) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( -0.17) | 13.5% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.46% ( -0.34) | 40.54% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 21.61% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.48% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.28)0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.54% Total : 56.91% |
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