SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Qingdao Youth Island win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
65.26% ( -0.47) | 19.64% ( 0.14) | 15.1% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.94% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( 0.05) | 41.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.42% ( 0.05) | 63.57% ( -0.05) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.15% ( -0.11) | 11.84% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.89% ( -0.24) | 37.1% ( 0.24) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.05% ( 0.47) | 39.94% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.4% ( 0.43) | 76.6% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
| 2-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.72% Total : 65.25% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.64% | 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.1% |
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