SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Hainiu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
39.83% ( 0.09) | 25.13% ( 0.01) | 35.04% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( -0.07) | 46.44% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( -0.07) | 68.72% ( 0.07) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( 0.01) | 23.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.99% ( 0.02) | 57.01% ( -0.02) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( -0.09) | 25.73% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.34% ( -0.12) | 60.65% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.04% |
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