SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Qingdao Youth Island win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Henan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
52.72% ( -1.49) | 24.49% ( 0.52) | 22.79% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 51% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.38% ( -1.05) | 50.61% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.47% ( -0.94) | 72.53% ( 0.94) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% ( -0.97) | 19.16% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.18% ( -1.63) | 50.82% ( 1.64) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.09% ( 0.35) | 36.91% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.3% ( 0.35) | 73.69% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.71% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.79% |
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