SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
35.48% ( 0.55) | 23.85% ( 0.09) | 40.67% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 61.81% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.67% ( -0.32) | 40.33% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.29% ( -0.33) | 62.71% ( 0.34) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( 0.15) | 22.65% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.72% ( 0.22) | 56.28% ( -0.21) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( -0.42) | 20.09% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.66% ( -0.68) | 52.34% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.48% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.05% Total : 40.67% |
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