Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 73.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 9.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.46%) and 0-3 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Qingdao Youth Island win it was 1-0 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
-1.57) 
2.32) 
