Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
31.7% ( 0.28) | 25.77% ( -0.54) | 42.52% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 53.95% ( 1.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.93% ( 2.32) | 50.07% ( -2.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.95% ( 2.03) | 72.04% ( -2.03) |
Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.43% ( 1.36) | 29.57% ( -1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.4% ( 1.63) | 65.59% ( -1.63) |
Shandong Taishan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( 1.15) | 23.39% ( -1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( 1.65) | 57.38% ( -1.65) |
Score Analysis |
Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.7% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.68) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.51% |
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