SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
36.75% ( 0.12) | 25.95% ( -0.02) | 37.29% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.41% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.05% ( 0.07) | 49.94% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% ( 0.06) | 71.93% ( -0.07) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( 0.1) | 26.38% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( 0.14) | 61.54% ( -0.14) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( -0.03) | 26.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.86% ( -0.03) | 61.13% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.29% |
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