SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Bragantino |
49.74% ( 0.05) | 24.55% ( -0.02) | 25.71% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( 0.06) | 48.27% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% ( 0.05) | 70.42% ( -0.05) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( 0.04) | 19.44% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.73% ( 0.07) | 51.28% ( -0.06) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% ( 0.01) | 33.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( 0.01) | 69.66% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.74% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 25.71% |
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