SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 72.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 9.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.15%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
72.15% ( -0.01) | 18.39% ( 0.27) | 9.47% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 39.66% ( -1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( -1.87) | 49.54% ( 1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( -1.71) | 71.57% ( 1.71) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.63% ( -0.54) | 12.37% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.79% ( -1.14) | 38.21% ( 1.14) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.26% ( -1.75) | 54.74% ( 1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.27% ( -1.08) | 87.73% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 2-0 @ 14.78% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.77)3-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.7% Total : 72.13% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.41% Total : 18.39% | 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.59% Total : 9.47% |
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