SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
60.2% ( 0.46) | 23.31% ( 0.02) | 16.49% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 44.65% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.08% ( -0.78) | 53.91% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% ( -0.66) | 75.36% ( 0.66) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.12) | 17.59% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% ( -0.21) | 48.16% ( 0.21) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.19% ( -1.08) | 45.81% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.42% ( -0.86) | 81.57% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 60.19% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.4% Total : 16.49% |
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