Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 35.54%. A draw had a probability of 33.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.28%) and 2-1 (6.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.26%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (14.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente Rivadavia in this match.
-0.04) 
0.04) 
