Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
Result | ||
Racing Club | Draw | Instituto |
61.84% ( 0.17) | 22.71% ( 0.02) | 15.44% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 44.16% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.63% ( -0.4) | 53.37% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.09% ( -0.34) | 74.91% ( 0.34) |
Racing Club Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.18% ( -0.08) | 16.82% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.19% ( -0.15) | 46.8% ( 0.15) |
Instituto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.09% ( -0.5) | 46.9% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.58% ( -0.39) | 82.41% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Racing Club | Draw | Instituto |
1-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 61.84% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.25% Total : 15.44% |
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