SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Stranraer win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Stranraer |
61.98% ( 0.06) | 21.46% ( -0.03) | 16.56% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.53% ( 0.08) | 46.46% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.25% ( 0.08) | 68.74% ( -0.08) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.56% ( 0.05) | 14.44% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.62% ( 0.09) | 42.38% ( -0.09) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.73% ( 0.02) | 41.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.2% ( 0.01) | 77.8% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.97% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.46% | 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.56% |
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