SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Dumbarton |
36.61% ( 0.47) | 24.1% ( -0.1) | 39.29% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 61.03% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.58% ( 0.53) | 41.42% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.19% ( 0.54) | 63.82% ( -0.53) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( 0.49) | 22.55% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( 0.72) | 56.13% ( -0.71) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 0.06) | 21.2% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.91% ( 0.09) | 54.09% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.61% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 39.29% |
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