SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Stranraer |
49.21% ( -0.08) | 23.88% ( 0.04) | 26.91% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.22% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.57% ( -0.19) | 44.42% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.2% ( -0.18) | 66.79% ( 0.18) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( -0.1) | 18.15% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.87% ( -0.17) | 49.13% ( 0.17) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( -0.08) | 30.09% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( -0.09) | 66.22% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Stranraer |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.21% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 26.91% |
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