SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 1-0 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Penarol |
20.39% ( 0.28) | 24.96% ( -0.15) | 54.64% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.06% ( 0.87) | 54.94% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.77% ( 0.71) | 76.22% ( -0.71) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.21% ( 0.81) | 41.79% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.75% ( 0.7) | 78.25% ( -0.7) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0.29) | 20.08% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( 0.47) | 52.31% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.13% Total : 20.39% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 10.81% ( -0.17)1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.54% Total : 54.64% |
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