Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%).

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Penarol
33.47%	26.42%	40.11%

Both teams to score 52.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.71%

52.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.02%

73.98%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49%

29.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48%

65.52%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.38%

25.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.49%

60.5%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 33.47%

Penarol 40.1%

Draw 26.41%

Liverpool	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.47%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.1%