Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Liverpool
41.39% ( 0.37)	27.78% ( -0.03)	30.83% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 47.47% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.79% (

0.01)

58.21% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.15% (

78.85% (

-0.01)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

0.21)

27.68% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

0.27)

63.23% (

-0.27)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.64% (

-0.25)

34.36% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.93% (

-0.27)

71.06% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Penarol 41.38%

Liverpool 30.82%

Draw 27.78%

Penarol	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.38%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 30.82%