SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Penarol |
| 31.72% | 27.58% | 40.7% |
| Both teams to score 48.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.77% | 57.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.92% | 78.08% |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% | 33.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% | 69.81% |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% | 27.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.88% | 63.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.72% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 11.79% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.69% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
