SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | Benfica |
49.46% ( -0.22) | 22.64% ( -0) | 27.89% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 62.41% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.05% ( 0.17) | 37.94% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.8% ( 0.19) | 60.2% ( -0.19) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -0.01) | 15.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.36% ( -0.02) | 44.64% ( 0.02) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( 0.24) | 26.02% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.95% ( 0.32) | 61.05% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.83% Total : 49.46% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.9% |
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