Harborough will enjoy Sunday's fixture no matter the result, and while they will be dreaming of pulling off an upset, we think Reading's league quality will ultimately shine through even if Selles decides to rotate his team for the second-round tie.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 78.75%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Harborough Town had a probability of 7.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Harborough Town win it was 1-2 (2.44%).
-0.07) 
0.04) 
