Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Stuttgart |
57.22% ( 0.75) | 22.21% ( -0.15) | 20.57% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.46% ( -0.15) | 43.54% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.06% ( -0.15) | 65.93% ( 0.15) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.01% ( 0.19) | 14.98% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.57% ( 0.37) | 43.43% ( -0.37) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.93% ( -0.68) | 35.07% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.18% ( -0.72) | 71.82% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Stuttgart |
1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 57.22% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 20.57% |
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