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Champions League | League Stage
Sep 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
S

Real Madrid
3 - 1
Stuttgart

Mbappe (46'), Rudiger (83'), Endrick (90+5')
Vazquez (23'), Ancelotti (60'), Valverde (78'), Militao (80'), Modric (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Undav (68')
Mittelstadt (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawStuttgart
57.22% (0.753 0.75) 22.21% (-0.147 -0.15) 20.57% (-0.61 -0.61)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)43.54% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)65.93% (0.146 0.15)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (0.193 0.19)14.98% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.57% (0.369 0.37)43.43% (-0.373 -0.37)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93% (-0.684 -0.68)35.07% (0.681 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.18% (-0.723 -0.72)71.82% (0.718 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 57.22%
    Stuttgart 20.57%
    Draw 22.21%
Real MadridDrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 9.98% (0.133 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.47% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.161 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.84% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.025 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 57.22%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.21%
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Betis
Sunday, September 1 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, August 29 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Valladolid
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, August 18 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, August 14 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Mainz
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Preussen Munster 0-5 Stuttgart
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in DFL-Supercup
Last Game: Stuttgart 4-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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