Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
-0.32) 
0.49) 
