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UEFA Super Cup | Final
Aug 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Slaski
AL

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Atalanta

Valverde (59'), Mbappe (68')
Bellingham (35'), Junior (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ederson (9'), Djimsiti (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, August 7 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Atalanta
Friday, August 9 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAtalanta BC
41.04% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 34.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55%20.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09%52.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.39% (0.010999999999996 0.01)57.6% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 41.04%
    Atalanta BC 34.87%
    Draw 24.08%
Real MadridDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.87%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, August 7 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-2 Barcelona
Sunday, August 4 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Real Madrid
Thursday, August 1 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dortmund 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, June 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Betis
Saturday, May 25 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 4-4 Real Madrid
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Atalanta
Friday, August 9 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Parma 4-1 Atalanta
Sunday, August 4 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AZ 2-2 Atalanta
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Fiorentina
Sunday, June 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Torino
Sunday, May 26 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, May 22 at 8pm in Europa League


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