SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
28.6% ( 0.35) | 21.83% ( 0.14) | 49.57% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 66.02% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.55% ( -0.42) | 33.45% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.76% ( -0.48) | 55.24% ( 0.48) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( 0.01) | 23.27% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.8% ( 0.01) | 57.2% ( -0) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( -0.31) | 13.96% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.56% ( -0.61) | 41.44% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.6% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.57% |
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