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FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
S

Freiburg
3 - 1
Stuttgart

Kubler (26', 61'), Doan (54')
Adamu (41'), Lienhart (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osnabruck 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 2-2 Stuttgart

The arrival of new boss Schuster could be a welcome boost for Freiburg, and they could continue to benefit from his fresh ideas. Stuttgart could also have a hangover from their penalty-shootout defeat last week against Bayer Leverkusen, and it would not be surprising if they dropped points on their opening matchday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
28.6% (0.353 0.35) 21.83% (0.136 0.14) 49.57% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 66.02% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.55% (-0.41799999999999 -0.42)33.45% (0.421 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.76% (-0.48 -0.48)55.24% (0.483 0.48)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (0.007000000000005 0.01)23.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)57.2% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (-0.307 -0.31)13.96% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.56% (-0.608 -0.61)41.44% (0.611 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 28.6%
    Stuttgart 49.57%
    Draw 21.83%
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.8% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 4.74% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.6%
1-1 @ 9.32% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.97% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 2.16% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.04% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 49.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Osnabruck 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 3 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 3 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Freiburg
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in DFL-Supercup
Last Game: Stuttgart 4-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-5 Stuttgart
Thursday, August 1 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-5 Stuttgart
Sunday, July 28 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Sittard
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Stuttgart 4-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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