SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
62.34% ( -0) | 19.71% ( 0.01) | 17.95% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64% ( -0.11) | 36% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.9% ( -0.12) | 58.09% ( 0.12) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.9% ( -0.04) | 11.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.51% ( -0.07) | 35.48% ( 0.07) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% ( -0.09) | 33.34% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% ( -0.09) | 69.96% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.6% 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 62.34% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.71% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 17.95% |
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