SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
56.92% ( -0.37) | 21.88% ( 0.17) | 21.2% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.8% ( -0.54) | 41.2% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.41% ( -0.55) | 63.59% ( 0.55) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.71% ( -0.3) | 14.29% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.91% ( -0.58) | 42.09% ( 0.58) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( -0.12) | 33.12% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.27% ( -0.14) | 69.72% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.92% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 21.2% |
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