SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.9%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
55.9% ( -3.75) | 21.11% ( 0.58) | 22.99% ( 3.17) |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( 2.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.71% ( 1.54) | 35.28% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.69% ( 1.69) | 57.3% ( -1.69) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.35% ( -0.58) | 12.64% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.2% ( -1.21) | 38.79% ( 1.21) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( 3.7) | 28.23% ( -3.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.07% ( 4.44) | 63.93% ( -4.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.98)1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.77)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.81)3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.49)4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.23)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.31% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.49)0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.27)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.59) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.47)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.25)Other @ 3.45% Total : 22.99% |
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